Novara vs Sampierdarenese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
5 - 1
ROM
20%
20%
60%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
5 - 1
NOV
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
GEN
5 - 1
NOV
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
NOV
0 - 2
JUV
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1936 |
NOV
2 - 1
FIO
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sampierdarenese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
43%
23%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
ASL
1 - 0
SAM
40%
24%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1936 |
SAM
0 - 0
TRI
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1936 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAM
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |