Novara vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
ROM
2 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
SAM
0 - 4
JUV
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
FIO
4 - 1
SAM
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
SAM
3 - 3
PRO
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SAM
3 - 1
ASL
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TRI
3 - 2
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |