Novara vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ACL
0 - 1
NOV
11%
22%
67%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
NOV
11%
21%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
GER
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
NOV
12%
22%
67%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MES
4 - 2
SAL
17%
26%
58%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
SSB
77%
17%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 0
SAL
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
LRO
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |