Novara vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
NOV
2 - 0
CES
54%
29%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
32%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 1
USF
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 3
ASC
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
31%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 1
ROM
28%
33%
39%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ROM
0 - 0
VIC
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
39%
31%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |