Novara vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 3
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 0
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 3
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
ROM
6 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 2
VNZ
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
JUV
3 - 0
ROM
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
COM
0 - 0
ROM
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ROM
2 - 2
ASL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |