Novara vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 1
SAS
27%
27%
47%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
NOV
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 3
USF
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 0
USC
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
REA
2 - 3
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 3
REA
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
REA
2 - 0
FCI
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ASA
2 - 2
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
REA
2 - 1
VIG
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |