Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
USC
0 - 1
NOV
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
NOV
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASS
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
ACL
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
REA
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ABN
1 - 0
PRO
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 3
PAV
27%
28%
46%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAS
4 - 0
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |