Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 2
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 3
ACP
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
FRO
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FIA
1 - 0
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 2
ATL
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 2
VIC
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 0
PRO
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |