Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 2
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
PRO
3 - 1
FCC
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
PRO
1 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VER
1 - 0
PRO
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
PRO
3 - 0
PIS
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRO
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |