Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 1
SSS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
VNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
ASS
4 - 3
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |