Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
NAP
1 - 2
NOV
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
BOL
2 - 2
NOV
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 1
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
SPA
1 - 1
PRO
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
INT
2 - 0
PRO
82%
11%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |