Novara vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 3
ABN
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
REN
2 - 2
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 3
ATA
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 1
UAR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
JS2
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
VIS
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
0 - 0
PON
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
RIM
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |