Novara vs Pescina V. Giovenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 1
ACL
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
NOV
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pescina V. Giovenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
COS
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SSM
2 - 1
PES
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PES
1 - 0
FCI
55%
25%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
USV
2 - 4
PES
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ACI
1 - 1
PES
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |