Novara vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
29.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
4 - 1
NOV
65%
23%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
PES
0 - 0
COM
49%
27%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
PES
1 - 1
SSS
63%
23%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
TER
0 - 0
PES
47%
30%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
TAR
0 - 2
PES
44%
32%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |