Novara vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
TER
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAT
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ARZ
2 - 0
NOV
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
REG
45%
33%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
ATL
31%
37%
33%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 1
PRG
44%
31%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
TER
43%
33%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |