Novara vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NOV
60%
26%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
VER
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 1
POT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 2
PRG
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
PRG
3 - 1
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |