Novara vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
64%
23%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
REG
2 - 2
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
SOR
0 - 0
NOV
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARZ
55%
26%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 0
NOV
57%
27%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
PAL
2 - 2
COM
47%
30%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAL
46%
31%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
REG
1 - 0
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
TER
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |