Novara vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 0
LIV
48%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
PAD
3 - 1
NOV
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
MOD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
USA
3 - 0
PAL
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
PAL
1 - 2
POT
47%
29%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 0
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |