Novara vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
ROM
2 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
TOR
5 - 1
PAL
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
PAL
0 - 1
FIO
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
LAZ
5 - 0
PAL
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
PAL
0 - 0
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |