Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 1-3
Novara vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 2
ROM
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIC
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1938 |
PAL
3 - 0
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ASD
0 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
PAL
1 - 3
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |