Novara vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 3
USC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 0
PRG
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
3 - 1
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
COM
3 - 1
PAG
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ASS
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |