Novara vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USA
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASL
68%
20%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
PON
0 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
OLB
0 - 1
JS2
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
OLB
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OLB
1 - 1
PIS
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 2
OLB
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PIS
1 - 1
OLB
65%
23%
13%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |