Novara vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOV
59%
26%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAS
71%
19%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
MOD
4 - 2
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
COM
1 - 2
MOD
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
PRG
3 - 1
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
MOD
3 - 4
ATL
38%
32%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |