Novara vs Milan Futuro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REN
2 - 2
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
NOV
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
FIO
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Milan Futuro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 3
MIL
80%
13%
6%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | 0 |