Novara vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
25%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
43%
31%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
NOV
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
POT
1 - 0
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
POT
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |