Novara vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
SSS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VER
1 - 2
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASL
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
MES
1 - 2
LAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
MES
3 - 2
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
USA
3 - 2
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MES
2 - 1
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |