Novara vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
COS
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 0
UDI
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASL
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 0
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |