Novara vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
28.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 0
VNZ
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 0
LIV
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 0
PIS
42%
31%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 0
PAD
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |