Novara vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 2
NOV
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
UDI
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAG
1 - 2
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 1
SIE
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |