Novara vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
VER
3 - 0
NOV
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
NOV
60%
25%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
POT
0 - 0
LAZ
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
LAZ
0 - 1
REG
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
USF
0 - 0
LAZ
55%
27%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
BAR
3 - 1
LAZ
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |