Novara vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
INT
1 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
PAD
0 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAM
42%
23%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
0 - 2
NOV
63%
20%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
60%
19%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1950 |
LAZ
3 - 2
ACM
39%
23%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |