Novara vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
GEN
33%
22%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
87%
9%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 1
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 3
LAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |