Novara vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
FIO
2 - 1
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
JUV
4 - 0
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 3
ASL
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
GEN
3 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
INT
2 - 1
ASL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
34%
23%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 3
INT
30%
23%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
INT
3 - 0
JUV
58%
20%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
FIO
1 - 2
INT
39%
23%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |