Novara vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
SAM
2 - 1
NOV
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
INT
2 - 0
BAR
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
INT
4 - 0
TOR
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 3
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |