Novara vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
USF
0 - 0
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
USC
4 - 2
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 2
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAV
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
VER
1 - 1
PRO
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAD
3 - 0
VER
52%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VER
1 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |