Novara vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
29.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 0
NOV
38%
32%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
54%
28%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRG
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 2
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
BRI
0 - 0
VER
28%
33%
39%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
VER
1 - 0
ATL
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
VER
1 - 3
COM
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
FCC
0 - 0
VER
33%
33%
34%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |