Novara vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
TAR
2 - 0
NOV
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 2
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
VER
4 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
VER
4 - 0
TAR
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 2
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
CAG
2 - 0
VER
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
UDI
3 - 2
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |