Novara vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FER
2 - 4
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TER
3 - 1
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 0
ACL
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
PAV
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
GIU
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
GIU
4 - 2
SAL
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 0
GIU
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |