Novara vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
NOV
3 - 3
UDI
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
TOR
3 - 2
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
SAM
6 - 2
NOV
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
NOV
0 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
GEN
0 - 8
ACM
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
GEN
1 - 3
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |