Novara vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NOV
71%
16%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
TOR
2 - 1
NOV
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
PRO
2 - 1
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
26%
23%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ROM
0 - 1
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
GEN
0 - 3
ACM
20%
21%
60%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
PAL
4 - 1
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |