Novara vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
87%
9%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
NAP
53%
22%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
NOV
5 - 0
ROM
32%
23%
46%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 2
GEN
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
GEN
8 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
TOR
0 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |