Novara vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOV
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
FIA
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 0
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAS
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
FRO
2 - 1
ACS
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
FRO
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
FRO
3 - 1
ACP
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACI
3 - 2
FRO
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
0 - 1
FRO
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |