Novara vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.1%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 4
NOV
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
PDH
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 1
NOV
5%
15%
80%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOV
12%
22%
67%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FOS
1 - 2
CHI
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 0
FOS
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOS
1 - 0
GOZ
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOS
2 - 1
ACS
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
FOS
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |