Novara vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 0
UDI
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 2
FCC
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
USA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VER
3 - 0
COS
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
REG
1 - 0
COS
72%
16%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |