Novara vs Fortis Trani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 2
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 1
VNZ
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAG
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACP
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
BAR
3 - 1
NOV
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FOR
0 - 0
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 1
MOD
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 2
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
LIV
3 - 0
FOR
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |