Novara vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
FCV
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PRG
0 - 2
NOV
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 2
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
NOV
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
USA
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
COM
2 - 2
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SOR
2 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
4 - 2
FCV
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |