Novara vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
LAZ
1 - 3
NOV
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
NOV
1 - 2
INT
26%
22%
52%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ROM
4 - 1
NOV
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 1
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
COM
2 - 1
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 2
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |