Novara vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
4 - 0
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
VNZ
48%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 0
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FIO
1 - 2
NAP
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
GEN
0 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 1
LAZ
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
BOL
5 - 3
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |