Novara vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 0
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAS
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAV
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
ACL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FIA
3 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ACP
1 - 1
FIA
35%
28%
36%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
ACI
0 - 0
FIA
37%
31%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
SAS
47%
28%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIA
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |