Novara vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
USA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 0
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COS
0 - 0
FCC
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
FCC
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |